44 replies to this topic

[SinterX]

Me and a few friends on my teamspeak are all very excited about the new wintersday event and were trying to figure out what items would be needed so we could avoid the evil 1% of market gougers! We all agree mint leafs will be part of the event but my question to you guys is what do you think of the price and supply? Should I save up enough money to buy as stack in advance so as to avoid inflated prices during the event? Or do you think there is enough supply that I can just wait for the event and see what actually involves the mint leaf? I would appreciate any real advice you could provide. Me and my friends are rather new so we don’t have much gold right now :/ and we don’t want to be left behind and find ourselves unable to buy any of these if the price sky rockets.

Sincerly,

LooneyToons[WB] guild

Edited by Corsair, 29 November 2012 - 03:10 AM.
Removed font change and color

[madmaxII]

Some people thought it would be clever to hoard Sugar Pumpkins and Ghost Pepper before the halloween event started,

It was a bad idea.

[Al Shamari]

madmaxII, on 28 November 2012 - 01:46 AM, said:

Some people thought it would be clever to hoard Sugar Pumpkins and Ghost Pepper before the halloween event started,

It was a bad idea.

No, it was a great idea for them. They made posts similar to this after they had already stocked up, watched the prices shoot up, dumped theirs off and watched as everyone else was now stuck with trash.

[NuclearDonut]

Halloween didn't use any mats that were available before the event (for the most part). I assume Wintersday will have a winter equivalent of Candy Corn.

[matsif]

probably going to be candy canes or some sort, like halloween I doubt there will be too much with anything else (glacial lodestones included).

[Omni X]

madmaxII, on 28 November 2012 - 01:46 AM, said:

Some people thought it would be clever to hoard Sugar Pumpkins and Ghost Pepper before the halloween event started,

It was a bad idea.

Well pumpkins are a requirement for crafting Spicy Pumpkin Cookies; a lvl 400 recipe which could be bought during Halloween. The cookies have the same magic find stats as Omnomberri Bars; so saving up pumpkins was not a bad idea after all.

Edited by Omni X, 28 November 2012 - 02:50 AM.

[Wifflebottom]

There's probably going to be like new "peppermint leafs"  introduced with the update

[Eon Lilu]

And the market manipulation threads begin....

player with total of 4 posts on forums...and a cat for a avatar from a guild called looney tunes....

My guild this one time at band camp said mint leafs were all that is going to be used at wintersday...BYE THEM NOW!!!

Ya see what i did there?

Edited by Eon Lilu, 28 November 2012 - 03:23 AM.

[Sajoke]

Yeah someone wants to dump a bunch of mint leaves.  Sell price almost doubled in past day.  Please people don't fall for this. Think of all the poor people who heard black lion chests would be a good investment and then purchased 250 at 50 copper each.

http://www.gw2spidy.com/item/12536

[SinterX]

hrm.... well kinda hard to cypher the over all message but i guess what you guys are saying is i have nothing to worry about? and not to panick?

[Eon Lilu]

I really hope guru starts putting in rules about market manipulation topics, forums users with barely any posts on the forums just posting market speculation and manipulation threads every week or so...

Getting old..

[madmaxII]

Omni X, on 28 November 2012 - 02:49 AM, said:

Well pumpkins are a requirement for crafting Spicy Pumpkin Cookies; a lvl 400 recipe which could be bought during Halloween. The cookies have the same magic find stats as Omnomberri Bars; so saving up pumpkins was not a bad idea after all.

Spicy Pumpkin Cookies have the same stats as Cups of Lotus Fries, an item that has always been fairly cheap. Not sure but even now the cookies should be more expensive than the fries. Which tells us that speculating on some sort of super event-only food is not a good idea.

Al Shamari, on 28 November 2012 - 01:48 AM, said:

No, it was a great idea for them. They made posts similar to this after they had already stocked up, watched the prices shoot up, dumped theirs off and watched as everyone else was now stuck with trash.

I meant it was a bad idea to invest in ghost pepper and pumpkins to make profit during the event. It is no secret that you can make a lot of money by abusing short-sighted players (just think of the black lion chests).

[JONO51]

Every recipe was permanent for Halloween and I don't see why they wouldn't be here too.

[Izuu]

Just take a look at the chocalate bars, heavy speculation already going on there:

http://www.gw2spidy.com/item/12229


When i take a look at the ingredients, i think cinnamon sticks are a pretty promising opportunity to invest in. They are the second most offered good in the auction house, the price is as low as possible (3 copper) and there is no useful recipe that uses them. If Anet introduces some new recipes that use some already available ingredients, i really would bet on cinnamon.

[JONO51]

Izuu, on 28 November 2012 - 11:44 AM, said:

Just take a look at the chocalate bars, heavy speculation already going on there:

http://www.gw2spidy.com/item/12229

I think a bigger part of that is the nerf to drop rates at halloween so that chocolate bars only drop from loot bags under lvl 50. The cheap stock (under 20c) has been steadily decreasing in quantity ever since, and once that was fully depleted last week, the price really started to take off. Look at butter too. It had the same nerf applied and 700k of the cheap stock has been burned through in past past 3 weeks, with another 700k to go until the price can really start to take off similar to chocolate.



e: i think some ppl owe me a like

Edited by JONO51, 29 November 2012 - 08:28 PM.

[setsuna_sunrise]

While we're on the topic of speculation, another key ingredient that will likely be used are Eggs.

Eggnog has always been around during Wintersday, so maybe this time around, we might have a vendor who'll take eggs in exchange for eggnog.

There's also the Thirst quencher achievement which will hopefully be more easily achievable with a high alcohol value eggnog.

[artemist]

setsuna_sunrise, on 28 November 2012 - 01:32 PM, said:

While we're on the topic of speculation, another key ingredient that will likely be used are Eggs.

EGGS GOOGOGOGOGOGOGOGOGOG
http://www.gw2spidy.com/item/12143

[ATC_06]

Do you think saffron threads will be used too?

http://www.gw2spidy.com/item/12547

[Eenskolde]

Cinnamon sticks has also gone up like 100% from 3bronze to 5 xD

http://www.gw2spidy.com/item/12258

Btw, whats mv avg. mean variance average? wtf

Edited by Eenskolde, 28 November 2012 - 11:20 PM.

[Isms]

Eenskolde, on 28 November 2012 - 11:03 PM, said:

Cinnamon sticks has also gone up like 100% from 3bronze to 5 xD

http://www.gw2spidy.com/item/12258

Btw, whats mv avg. mean variance average? wtf

Yeah, during halloween (before the huge cinnamon stix drop rate nerf), it rose well past these prices. Cinnamon is an even more popular spice during christmas than it is during halloween, and it seems to be the only ingredient left to invest in.

Update: LOL! just look at the cinnamon stix on the trading post. You can visually see the number available just plummeting. Really wish I didn't just spend all my money on crafting alts .

Edited by Isms, 29 November 2012 - 04:51 AM.

[Eenskolde]

So supply and price gets higher right now for cinnamon? Thats not what i learned at business class

[Izuu]

Eenskolde, on 29 November 2012 - 07:40 AM, said:

So supply and price gets higher right now for cinnamon? Thats not what i learned at business class

Supply decreases ofc, thats what he said.

looks like cinnamon sticks are really the ingredient one should invest in. There are really huge stacks with 500k and 1Mio on 6 and 7 copper, but when the trend continues past these the price will probably rise pretty fast. I will try to save the last stacks for 7, if it does.

[Eenskolde]

Yeah ok, i just saw it 2nd top supplied item.

[quix8383]

Walnuts just skyrocketed...
Everyone is speculating about Cinnamon or Mint Leafs like they did with Pumpkins at Halloween.

Indeed i think they will add something like Candy Corn for Wintersday.
Only thing thats pretty sure is that there will be Skins again.. prob. dropped by BLC again?

[Al Shamari]

Surely there will be candy cane trees in which you chop to receive candy cane shards. Some of these materials may be used, but the people "speculating" and making these threads/posting about it aren't really investing for Wintersday. They're trying to get the prices to spike so they can make a quick turn around in profits.

[JONO51]

quix8383, on 29 November 2012 - 07:13 PM, said:

Walnuts just skyrocketed...

hahahaha. seems like we have a quite a few stocks that are undergoing a "crisis" today, don't we .

Edited by JONO51, 29 November 2012 - 07:48 PM.

[BrettM]

Quick! Invest in carrots! After all, how can anyone make a snowman without a carrot for the nose?

[lmaonade]

well the good news is that when Wintersday comes and the prices of these goods plummet again I'll be able to buy to level my crafting

[Pysgasm]

BrettM, on 29 November 2012 - 08:01 PM, said:

Quick! Invest in carrots! After all, how can anyone make a snowman without a carrot for the nose?

Yea I heard the snowman will be like a pet you can summon. He'll throw out random boons every 5 seconds and debuff conditions whilst following you. I have heard this on good authority! Carrots will be the essential ingrediant to buy because snow will be readily available from snow nodes placed all over tyria! Also brush up on your tailoring skillz because snowmen will require scarfs but silk scraps are readily available and plentiful. /lol

[Eon Lilu]

Mithril is apparently going to be used in wintersday to make an asuran golem blimp airship of your own. BUY NOW..or try your luck at gambling the cash shop in the wintersday chests!!11!!!!
!!!!11111!!!!

Edited by Eon Lilu, 29 November 2012 - 08:29 PM.