Everyone's going on what ArenaNet says and does. The problem that we are faced with is a terrible inconsistency with what they have said and done. Three months can mean the difference between ArenaNet boldly announcing and implementing their intentions and changing their minds entirely.
That means we are all trying to predict where things will go based on what ArenaNet says and does, but we can come to wildly different conclusions. Predicting that they will start building content geared toward more powerful gear is perfectly consistent with what they have said and done so far.