These transfers seem like a lot now, but down the road, we will say "remember when..." Come February we will already start to see some new Tier 1 contenders.
I'm curious on why you think we will see new tier 1 contenders. What makes you think the WvW scene will change all that much in the coming weeks? Once free transfers close, it's unlikely we will see many people changing servers at all, if you're already in a tier 1 or 2 server (which seems to be what everyone is trying do looking at the population numbers) why would you bother changing? If a server doesn't have the coverage to get to tier 1 by the end of the free transfers, what realistic chance is there that they will fill that coverage gap once it starts costing money? I can see the possibility of one of the tier 2 servers rising up into tier 1, most of the tier 1 servers were nearly impossible to get into this week (I've seen guilds break the EULA by swapping account information and passwords so they could swap each other's accounts over while people were sleeping or at work), so many guilds went to tier 2 instead, boosting their coverage a lot more, servers which had full populations but poor coverage (population caps have nothing to do with active WvW players as far as I know). What I'm saying is, if you don't have the coverage before free transfers ends, how are you going to get the coverage to get into tier 1?
@ the whole JQ/SoS drama, this shit is why so many people don't post on forums or want to be involved in WvW or top tiers. A handful of people (seriously, it's a handful of monkeys slinging poo at each other) painting entire servers with broad paint brushes. The drama over winning or losing tier 1, gaining or not gaining large transfers and the dellusion that WvW is supposed to be a balanced competitive arena where objective and meaningful achievements are made, it's all just really depressing. You can do some really cool shit in WvW but people talk about it like it's GvG from GW1, where guilds competed on a balanced playing field and skill triumphed. The best sPvP in this game (and the bar is pretty high) would get crushed by any large guild. If you want to build a reputation of being a competitive skilled team that stomps their competition, do it in sPvP. If you want to have zergy fun, siege towers, defend keeps and crush enemy militia (with tactics and strategies, good commanding and a giant force to back you up), WvW is great. Let's stop pretending it's something it's not.